Impact of the first goal on the result of the matches in the brazilian championship and brazilian cup

  • Gustavo Henrique do Carmo Escola de Educação Física e Esporte de Ribeirão Preto da Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brasil.
  • Guilherme Ximenes Nadaleto Escola de Educação Física e Esporte de Ribeirão Preto da Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brasil.
  • Rafael Pombo Menezes Escola de Educação Física e Esporte de Ribeirão Preto da Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brasil.
  • Márcio Pereira Morato Escola de Educação Física e Esporte de Ribeirão Preto da Universidade de São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brasil.
Keywords: Football, Brazil, Probability

Abstract

Introduction and Objective: Football is one of the most popular team sports worldwide and the most practiced in Brazil. Given this fact, it is crucial to understand the Brazilian soccer more deeply. The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of the first goal in matches of the Campeonato Brasileiro and Copa do Brasil (in the seasons of 2020 to 2022). Materials and Methods: The summaries of 1370 matches were analyzed, encompassing both championships of the mentioned seasons. Results: The documents analyzed revealed that the home team presented a higher percentage of victories. Discussion: The results are in line with findings in the literature, which indicate that the team scoring the first goal has a higher probability of achieving victory. This is primarily due to football dynamics, especially in the tactical context. Conclusion: Teams scoring the first goal in the first half showed a higher rate of victories in both competitions; we also found a significant difference in the influence of home field advantage (p<0.001) in Campeonato Brasileiro.

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Published
2024-12-20
How to Cite
Carmo, G. H. do, Nadaleto, G. X., Menezes, R. P., & Morato, M. P. (2024). Impact of the first goal on the result of the matches in the brazilian championship and brazilian cup. RBFF - Brazilian Journal of Futsal and Football, 16(66), 564-573. Retrieved from https://www.rbff.com.br/index.php/rbff/article/view/1484
Issue
Vol. 16 No. 66 (2024)
Section
Scientific Articles - Original

Copyright (c) 2024 Gustavo Henrique do Carmo, Guilherme Ximenes Nadaleto, Rafael Pombo Menezes, Márcio Pereira Morato

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